The Swedish Invasion

I think not

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Apr 12, 2005
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The Swedish Invasion: Does a Mixed Economy Lead to Domestic Bliss

"We want to produce the soundtrack to the ongoing war against capitalism."

That's the creed of Sweden's new garage band The (International) Noise Conspiracy. They're avowed socialists, to the point of caricature. A comically self-indulgent manifesto posted on the band's official website attempts to justify, for example, how a band so averse to capitalism could be as eager to jump feet-first into the MTV-Rolling Stone marketing machine as TINC has been. "We use media and industry - which we hate - to get our message across," the rationalization goes.

TINC is just the latest in a long line of "new garage" ("old garage" might include Iggy Pop, or the Velvet Underground) bands in what's become something of a Swedish rock n' roll invasion. TINC follows the stateside success of The Vines and The Hives. Others, like Division of Laura Lee and the Hellacopters wait in the wings.

Much has also been made of late about Swedish socialism. Pundits on the right have culled selective economic data to suggest that the common Swede lives no better than, for example, the poorest sharecropper in Mississippi. Advocates on the left have held up Sweden as the anti-Soviet Union, a shining example of how a hybrid of economic socialism and political freedom can yield a domestic bliss. They point out that the Swedish assault on the America rock charts is, in fact, a direct result of Sweden's public support for the arts. In Sweden, it's been written, musicians can apply for aspiring-artist welfare from the federal government. Keep track of when and where you practice, how long the band's been together, fill out the appropriate forms, and a wannabe rock star can take in as much as $18,000 U.S. in public assistance.

So what's the real scoop?

In truth, the Swedish economy is pretty similar to the politics of its rock bands: avowedly socialist by most outward appearances, but more than willing to embrace the machinery of capitalism behind the scenes in order to make the whole thing work.

You might call it "boutique socialism."

Perhaps a brief layman's history of Swedish politics is order.

It's true that Sweden was socialist for most of the twentieth century. The socialists took power in the early 1930s and held it until the early 1990s. It's also true that in comparison to the rest of Europe, the Swedish economy flourished until the 1960s. But that's not really because of Sweden's socialist proclivities. Rather, it's more because of that notorious economy-killer called World War II, an endeavor that Milton Friedman noted "Sweden had the good economic sense to avoid."*

Advocates of the "Sweden as the anti-Soviet" line of thought might also want to take note: Early socialist Sweden was hardly a utopia of political freedom and civil liberties. Mengele-ian social engineering projects saw government-enforced sterilization of thousands of "unfit" Swedes in the 1930s and 40s. As late as 1950, the Swedish government was still experimenting with lobotomies on alcoholics and convicts - often without their consent - in researching possible "cures" for such undesirable behavior.

By the late 1960s and early 1970s, the Swedish economy was tanking. Western Europe's post-war capitalist economies caught and passed Sweden relatively quickly. And by the 1980s, Sweden was on the verge of collapse. Businesses fled for more friendly tax jurisdictions in continental Europe and the U.S. Sweden experienced a brain drain as its sharpest minds fled to market-driven economies that rewarded knowledge and know-how with wealth. Entrepreneurs in Sweden were painted as pariahs. Ikea founder Ingvar Kamprad told Fortune magazine that Sweden's tax bureaucrats and politicians at the time routinely accused him of "using people" and "just wanting to make a profit."

By 1989, Sweden's unemployment rate had risen to 12%. Social spending had driven the government's budget deficit to 35% of government spending and 13% of GDP. Swedish welfare provisions stipulated that anyone fired or laid off from a job could get up to 80% of his original salary in public assistance. Consequently, absenteeism in the private sector approached 25%. Free, comprehensive national health care made Sweden the "sickest" country in Europe - so long as government picked up the tab, Swedes demanded the highest care for the feeblest illnesses. The system buckled. Because almost everything was provided for, and because of income tax rates approaching 90% in the highest brackets, Swedish households accumulated almost no savings, making them even more dependent on social programs once the economy soured.

In the early 1990s, the Swedes revolted at the ballot box. A neoliberal coalition led by Carl Bildt took power. Bildt quickly went to work. He capped national income taxes at 50%. He set corporate taxes at 28%. He rolled back regulations on telecommunications and banking. While hardly the epitome of laissez faire capitalism, those modest changes alone set in motion the path to Sweden's economic rebirth.

In 1994, the Social Democrats regained power - mostly because Bildt's slashing of government services ignited a backlash. But the signs of recovery were already in place, and so the Social Democrats, led by finance minister Goran Persson, followed Bildt's lead. More privatization of government-controlled industries. More tax cuts. To that they added more cuts in government spending, and a real effort to balance the federal budget.

The result? Native Swedish entrepreneurs who fled the oppressive tax and regulation codes to start businesses elsewhere brought their businesses and payrolls back to Sweden. Sweden today is home to some of the world's top telecommunications firms. In sharp contrast to the eugenicist philosophy of Sweden's ruling 1940s socialists, the streets of Stockholm and Goteborg teem with entrepreneurial immigrants from Asia and the Middle East. Fortune reports, "from 1995 to 1999, venture capital and private equity investment in Sweden rose 201% annually, against 40% in the U.S."

Sweden of course is in no danger of becoming a shelter for tax-oppressed U.S. business. Education and health care are still free (and, consequently, still on the verge of collapse). Though corporate tax rates are reasonable, personal income tax rates are still inordinately high. And the lingering haze of conformity that comes with rampant socialism still holds a good number of Swedes in despair. Sweden's suicide rates are among the highest in the world (much higher than latitudinally similar, low-sunlight communities in, for example, Alaska). Alcoholism is rampant, and this in a country where the state owns all the liquor stores. Even Per Stalberg, singer for the socialism-espousing Division of Laura Lee admits that the everything's-taken-care-of life of a Swede leaves something to be desired.

"You have to go to school, and then you have to work in an office, then drink a lot of booze, and then beat the s*** out of your wife," he told Rolling Stone. "There are a lot of personal problems here. I don't know many people who haven't been to a shrink."

So what about that Swedish music invasion allegedly spurred on by rock star welfare? Well, it's probably telling that the program was phased out as part of finance minister Persson's mid-1990s cuts in social programs. If you give, say, five to eight years for a band to mature and catch on, you might make the case that the Swedish invasion is the product of ending rock star welfare, not institutionalizing it. And The Hives - easily Sweden's most successful band so far, and probably its most talented - were never on the public dole to begin with (bandleader Pelle Amlqvist told Rolling Stone, "We thought that was like working for The Man. Plus, we were crap at filling out all the forms.").

Sixty years of Swedish socialism gave us ABBA and Ace of Base. Ten years of quasi-capitalism, and Sweden's holding the flag for the new garage revolution. That's as convincing a case for markets as I need.

* Or perhaps Sweden was fortunate that its neighbors were able to defeat Hitler.--Editor

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jimmoyer

jimmoyer
Apr 3, 2005
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Winchester Virginia
www.contactcorp.net
Great article on Sweden. Good analysis.

Also Sweden has invested in Baghdad's independent
radio, called Radio Dilja (means Tigris River).

They gave the startup capital.

This station has sunni and shia discussing
and it's a big hit in Baghdad.

Google Dilja.
 

I think not

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Apr 12, 2005
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The Evil Empire
The Not-So-Super Model in the WSJ Jan 24 2006

By FREDRIK SEGERFELDT
January 24, 2006

STOCKHOLM -- The Swedish model is back in fashion. Seeking ways to meet globalization's challenges, think tanks and researchers across Europe are looking northward for inspiration. The Scandinavian model is even on the agenda for the EU's March summit, which will focus on jobs and growth.

As a Swede, I am naturally flattered by all the attention. And my country is wonderful in many ways. But Europeans should probably look more seriously at Sweden's much-vaunted economy and welfare state. Up close, the cracks in the façade are easier to see. They're worth dwelling on, if only so others don't repeat our mistakes.

In the past decade, the Swedish economy has grown at a slightly better clip than the EU average thanks to market-oriented reforms that took place from 1985 to 1995. Sweden joined the EU, gave the central bank independence, deregulated some markets, shored up public finances and introduced modest cuts in taxes and welfare schemes.

However, falling export prices and rising import prices have softened the improvement of the relative living standard for the average Swede. During the last decade Sweden has gained only one position in the OECD table for GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power.

By the same token, Sweden saw impressive productivity growth during the 1990s: 2.5% per year. But productivity growth per capita, a more relevant measurement, topped only four industrialized countries.
According to Eurostat, Sweden has the EU's smallest amount of business investment as a share of GDP. The U.N. reports that Sweden is among only 12 countries in the world with a net outflow of investments.

Scandinavian labor markets vary greatly. Whereas the Danish labor market is fairly deregulated, the Swedish one is not. In fact, 18 OECD countries boast a more flexible labor market than Sweden's. This in part explains the country's high rate of unemployment. True, our nominal unemployment rate of 6.3%, according to Eurostat, is the ninth lowest in the EU. Yet even trade union specialists put total unemployment -- including those on sick leave, in early retirement or in job retraining programs -- at 20-25%. Between 1995 and 2003, employment grew faster in 11 of the 14 other "old" EU countries than in Sweden. In fact, the private sector employs 350,000 fewer people today than in 1965, despite population growth of about one million. The public sector -- at the taxpayer's expense -- picks up the slack.

Lagging employment growth is also a result of the low level of entrepreneurship. The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor reports that only four of the 34 countries it surveyed have a lower level of entrepreneurial activity than Sweden. The number of self-employed Swedes has fallen by half since the early 1960s. Today more Swedes are in early retirement than are self-employed.
* * *
Not only is the economy doing less well than some suggest, but Sweden's celebrated welfare state is also facing serious problems. Despite an increase of almost 70% in spending since 1979, Sweden's public health-care system is coming apart at the seams. The Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions reports that doctors see an average of four patients a day, down from nine in 1975. According to the Swedish Institute for Health Economics, doctors spend 50-80% of their time on administrative tasks. The number of hospital beds is down by 80% since 1975. More than 50% of patients wait over 12 weeks for an examination and then at least 12 weeks more for treatment. And Sweden ranks fourth in the OECD's table of income-related inequalities in access to health care.

At the heart of the "Swedish social model" are the generous welfare benefits. And it is true that Sweden has the highest proportional government social spending in the EU. But its relatively low economic growth has undermined the tax base. Despite lower taxes, six EU countries spend more per capita on social policies than Sweden.

Sweden has one of the lowest income gaps between rich and poor in the world, as measured by the Gini coefficient. However, this has more to do with the compressed wage structure than government redistribution. The welfare system is actually less redistributive than is often believed.
Sweden's social spending is primarily aimed at the middle class. Some 82% of the taxes earmarked for social spending -- paid during an average lifetime -- is returned to the taxpayer in the form of subsidized social services and various welfare allowances. So the Swedish welfare state is more interested in regulating people's lives than promoting "social justice." Billionaires receive child allowances while Stockholm has a higher proportion of homeless people than Chicago.

There are many valuable lessons to be learned from the Nordic countries. The Danish labor market, the Finnish welfare system, Iceland's tax code and Sweden's openness to international trade indeed are good sources of inspiration. However, the European debate would benefit from a broader perspective on Sweden. All that glitters isn't gold, despite the government's feverish burnishing.

Mr. Segerfeldt is a director at Timbro, a think tank based in Stockholm.