'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada 2014/15

B00Mer

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Sep 6, 2008
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'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac



Brace yourself: the Old Farmer’s Almanac has revealed its predictions for Canada’s upcoming winter season, and it’s not great news.

After last winter’s seemingly never-ending wickedly cold weather, residents in much of the country can expect more of the same in the coming months.

“We’re looking at the T-Rex of winters,” Jack Burnett, editor of the Old Farmer’s Almanac, said on CTV’s Canada AM on Thursday.

“It’s going to be colder, it’s going to be snowier … it’s not pretty.”

According to the almanac, central Canada, in particular, is expected to experience winter’s nasty bite.

“From Calgary to Quebec, we’re going to be up to our neck,” Burnett said.

One of the few exceptions will be southwestern Ontario, which will be cold, but with below-normal snowfall.

Burnett said forecasts show that while Toronto and the surrounding region will experience a deep-freeze, it’s going to be drier this winter, with “fluffier snow.”

Atlantic Canada, meanwhile, is set for a milder, but wet winter season, according to the almanac.

‘Baby lamb’ of summers next year

It may seem far in the future, but warmer temperatures will return – eventually.

Summer in Canada is expected to be milder and wet, with hotter and drier temperatures concentrated in Western Canada.

“Nothing really spectacular in the summer,” Burnett said.

2015 predictions for Canada

Spring:

Near or slightly below normal temperatures across Canada

Precipitation below normal in Quebec, above normal in Ontario, near normal elsewhere

Summer:

Above-normal temperatures, everywhere except Vancouver Island
Above-normal rainfall in Maritimes westward through Prairies
Below normal in British Columbia

Fall:

Above-normal temperatures from the Maritimes westward through Ontario
Below-normal from Manitoba to the Pacific Ocean
Precipitation slightly above normal in Prairies, at or below elsewhere

Long history of forecasts

The Almanac has been foretelling weather forecasts for 223 years, and its predictions are known to have an average of accuracy rating of approximately 80 per cent. The predictions are derived from a secret formula devised in 1792 by the almanac’s founder, Robert B. Thomas.

“We do have the physical formula, but it’s long since been put into computer algorithms,” Burnett said.

The almanac employs meteorology, climatology, solar patterns, and historical weather conditions to make its predictions.

Apart from weather trends, the almanac also predicts astronomical events, sunrises and sunsets, and tides. It also features recipes, gardening, and fun facts.

The Canadian edition of the Old Farmer’s Almanac began its circulation in 1982.

Global temperatures rise

Canada may be set for a drop in the mercury, but average global temperatures spiked during the summer months. U.S. meteorologists said Thursday that May, June and August all set global records this year. The average worldwide temperature was more than 16 C in August, which broke a record set in 1998.

August was particularly hot in the Pacific and Indian oceans, and in Africa.

source: Old Farmer's Almanac weather forecast: Cold and snowy winter for Canada | CTV News

 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Red Deer AB
That's horrible, I'm going to have to move 5 miles north to be in the warm zone. Any maps that match that but covering the (lower) US.
 

Tonington

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Oct 27, 2006
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"The kid down the street " This winter he might be running his own crew.

He was last winter...used his parents tractor. If this year's winter is mild and dry, well not such a great season for those in snow removal.
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Red Deer AB
Well that works out for you so who cares about the kid's business. If you are on the west coast didn't the Island get dumped on big time a few times? (not that it lasts long) I would bet the Rockies don't hold back the cold air when it is first moving south.
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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That cold air comes from the far north, you get mild and snow or you get extreme cold and no snow so the cold that southern Canada is supposed to get has to come from the far north first and then the snow starts when it meets the Chinook winds which brings the moisture. To get the pattern on the map you would need (Alberta) to get warm for a week and then get bitterly cold for 2 weeks and then warm for a week and then cold for 2 more weeks. That pattern should be from the Rockies all the way to Quebec and Manitoba and Ontario may not get the warm weather it would just be picking up the snow via the air from the GOM. Better get some booties for the dog and get the longjohns out before the first cold snap. The snow that was on the ground at Halloween last year never left if you want to know when winter started last year.

The Canadian map at this link doesn't look anything like the OP's map. What's up with that?
2014 Long Range Winter Forecast
2014 Canadian Winter Forecast - Farmers' Almanac
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Russian Scientist: World Facing ‘Mini-Ice Age’ Rather Than Global Warming | World | RIA Novosti
ST. PETERSBURG, September 19 (RIA Novosti) - The world will soon witness a "mini-ice age" rather than global warming, as solar output has been declining in recent years, a Russian scientist told RIA Novosti Friday.
"During the past 17 years global temperatures have not been rising, temperatures have stabilized. There has been no warming since 1997. The power of solar irradiance has decreased consistently since 1990 and is still rapidly declining. Since 1990, the Sun has not been warming the Earth as in the past," said Habibullo Abdussamatov, an astrophysicist and head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory.
According to Abdussamatov, our planet may enter what he calls "a mini-ice age" at the beginning of next year.
"The 'mini-ice age' is associated with a change in the power of solar output and has a quasi-period of some 200 years. Roughly speaking, two centuries, plus-minus 70 years," he told RIA Novosti.
He noted that the temperatures usually fall by about 1 -1.5°C during so-called mini-ice ages.