Conservatives bounce back, according to opinion poll
- Thread starter blugoo
- Start date
The Conservatives will really, really have to screw up to lose the next election.
However, if you know anything about Canadian federal politics, the federal Tories have been in the past more than adept enough at doing so.
The people who want Harper out bad must understand that they are fighting history. The Liberals are the natural governing party, but they are not the only governing party. And when the Canadian public gets tired of the Liberals, they spank them and send them to the corner for a term or two before they allow them back to govern.
And the beneficiary of this are the Conservatives.
Its a natural reflex in Canadian politics.
However, if you know anything about Canadian federal politics, the federal Tories have been in the past more than adept enough at doing so.
The people who want Harper out bad must understand that they are fighting history. The Liberals are the natural governing party, but they are not the only governing party. And when the Canadian public gets tired of the Liberals, they spank them and send them to the corner for a term or two before they allow them back to govern.
And the beneficiary of this are the Conservatives.
Its a natural reflex in Canadian politics.
Seven months of song and dance out of Harper and he's a point behind where he started from at election time. :lol: He better peddle faster. My guess is 2 of those points are out of sympathy for all the grief he's been getting over the AIDS conference. That'll fade.
BitWhys said:
I think a minority government is best in most cases. It keeps the government accountable (somewhat) and reflects the will of the Canadian electorate more accurately. A party that receives 40% of the vote, well beneath a majority, should not be able to govern like it received 100%. But that's what happens in a majority government situation. Definitely a flaw in the system...
zoofer said:
On the contrary, our Prime Minister Stephen Harper is quite popular here in Quebec as well. He didn't just pull those 10 seats out of a hat. It also looks as though the Conservatives have gained some substantial support in Montreal as well the past few weeks. Come the next federal election, keep your eyes on the Mount Royal riding here in Montreal. The riding has traditionaly voted Liberal, but it looks like the tide has turned.
BitWhys said:
I woulden't put too much money on the polls right now. Wasen't Mr Harper up around the high 30s low 40s right before the Israel/Hezbollah conflict? It seems Canadians used to years of being neutral, have shown some resistance in standing up for what they believe in. Yes, I believe Canadians are "scared"to stand up for what they believe in, Iremember polls showed Canadian support for Israel in the mid 60s. So whats up, all Harper said was that he suports Israels right to defend itself!
Anywho, I doubt Canadians will go to the polls and vote based on this issue, or foreign policy as a rule.
link:
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=201868ff-2685-4321-b222-a9307230d14e&k=88384
RE: Conservatives bounce
I just clicked on Hank's link, and it's instances like this where I really don't understand Quebec.
Hezbollah masses on Lebanon's southern border with Israel, kidnaps Israeli soldiers (which is an act of war, btw) fires rockets purposely at innocent civilians, and has a stated aim of the destruction of Israel - Yet according to most Quebecers, it's Israel who must compromise their position? That's just...insane.
It's hearing things like these that I can almost buy the separatist's argument: Quebec really does seem like a foreign country.
I just clicked on Hank's link, and it's instances like this where I really don't understand Quebec.
Hezbollah masses on Lebanon's southern border with Israel, kidnaps Israeli soldiers (which is an act of war, btw) fires rockets purposely at innocent civilians, and has a stated aim of the destruction of Israel - Yet according to most Quebecers, it's Israel who must compromise their position? That's just...insane.
It's hearing things like these that I can almost buy the separatist's argument: Quebec really does seem like a foreign country.
The Cons will get about 40% in the next election. Either a large minority or slim majority. The NDP will slip to 13% or so...the Greens 5%.
The real question mark is Quebec. Will it turn into a BQ/Con contest with the Libs evaporating or will the ibs make a resurgence and make it a BQ/Lib/Con race.
The real question mark is Quebec. Will it turn into a BQ/Con contest with the Libs evaporating or will the ibs make a resurgence and make it a BQ/Lib/Con race.
The tide has indeed turned. Here's a link ...
http://www.thesuburban.com/content.jsp?sid=19981452119006282487603730816&ctid=1000029&cnid=1009742