Tories take huge lead in latest poll

Locutus

Adorable Deplorable
Jun 18, 2007
32,230
45
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oh well...

Stephen Harper's Conservatives have vaulted to a huge lead in voter support thanks, largely, to the distribution of $3-billion worth of benefit cheques to parents earlier this week, a new poll says.

Mainstreet Research, in a survey provided exclusively to Postmedia Network, has Stephen Harper's party enjoying almost the same level of support this week that it got in the general election of 2011 when the party won its first-ever majority government.

Mainstreet asked more than 5,000 Canadians who they'd vote for if an election where held now, and 38% of decided voters picked the Tories. In the 2011 general election, 39% actually voted Conservative.

Thomas Mulcair's NDP were in second at 27% and Justin Trudeau's Liberals were third at 25%.

No survey published by a major pollster since Trudeau got elected leader in the spring of 2013 has had the Conservatives above 35%. Of the nine polls published by other pollsters in the last month, the Conservatives were between 27% and 32%.

"These are remarkably strong numbers. It is indeed Christmas in July for Conservatives," said Quito Maggi, Mainstreet's president.

Mainstreet surveyed 5,147 Canadians using an interactive voice response telephone poll that hits both landline and cell subscribers. A poll of this size -- the largest "horserace" sample of any poll done by anyone so far this year -- has a margin of error of 1.37% 19 times out of 20.

The poll was done Monday and Tuesday this week.

What was going on politically as Mainstreet was contacting voters?

The Conservatives were loudly trumpeting that seven months worth of cheques for their enriched and enhanced universal child care benefit were arriving in millions of Canadian households with children.

Parents of kids aged 5 and under had been getting $100 a month for each child. But that jumped to $160 a month as of Jan 1.

Meanwhile, every kid aged 6 to 17 was also worth $60 a month.

Seven months worth of all those new payments started arriving via direct deposit Sunday night. Paper cheques arrived Monday and Tuesday.

Maggi also said federal Conservatives are up in Ontario because of dislike of provincial Liberal Premier Kathleen Wynne's sex-ed curriculum changes.

And many "blue Liberals," Maggi said, have seen Mulcair's rise in the polls and, because they are more worried about an NDP win than a Liberal loss, are ready to vote for Harper.




Tories take huge lead in latest poll | Canada | News | Toronto Sun


Canadians begin to see what a disaster it would be with socialists in power not only provincially but federally too.
 

Scooby

Electoral Member
Mar 22, 2012
403
0
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Alberta
A lot of young families are financially vulnerable so this ploy by the Conservatives is socially responsible and should do good for many. The fact that they are doing it in a desperate attempt to stay in power, speaks volumes.
How ironic it is that such a expense is going forward while a billion dollar deficit is projected
Should the NDP or Liberals have attempted this while in power, the conservative right would be upset of course.
 

Corduroy

Senate Member
Feb 9, 2011
6,670
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Vancouver, BC
Stephen Harper's Conservatives have vaulted to a huge lead in voter support thanks, largely, to the distribution of $3-billion worth of benefit cheques to parents earlier this week, a new poll says.

Canadians begin to see what a disaster it would be with socialists in power not only provincially but federally too.

A massive government handout, tax hike, and redistribution of wealth gives Conservatives a bump in the polls and you say it's because Canadians are rejecting socialism.

Harper support Isreal.

Harper SMASH.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,778
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A massive government handout, tax hike, and redistribution of wealth gives Conservatives a bump in the polls and you say it's because Canadians are rejecting socialism.

 

damngrumpy

Executive Branch Member
Mar 16, 2005
9,949
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kelowna bc
I love this the child care legislation and handing out money comes from the
old family allowance put in by the Liberals. However the truth is it was a
compromise for a minority government. NDP supported the Liberals providing
they put in a number of pieces of legislation over the years.
family allowance
senior pensions
medicare

And others now they are taking credit for a democratic socialist program and this
is what it is. It comes decades too late and the money should have been used for
a national daycare program that would be affordable.

And wait till mom finds out it taxable that will come and be drilled home before the
election as well. These kinds of program poll jumps are usually short lived.
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
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Vernon, B.C.
And wait till mom finds out it taxable that will come and be drilled home before the
election as well. These kinds of program poll jumps are usually short lived.

That just levels the playing field and saves the gov't a redundancy in having to make a 2nd calculation to determine who gets it. :)
 

JamesBondo

House Member
Mar 3, 2012
4,158
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the leftard contempt for this benefit payout reminds me of those beer and popcorn comments from the liberals several elections ago.
 

CDNBear

Custom Troll
Sep 24, 2006
43,839
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Ontario
A massive government handout, tax hike, and redistribution of wealth gives Conservatives a bump in the polls and you say it's because Canadians are rejecting socialism.

A massive government handout, tax hike, and redistribution of wealth gives Conservatives a bump in the polls and you say it's because Canadians are rejecting socialism.

I love it when the truly stupid confuse Canadian politics for American politics. Which is then only made more hilarious by the fact that Canadian Conservatism is left of centre on the American political scale.

I almost peed, I laughed so hard.
 

Vancouverite

Electoral Member
Dec 23, 2011
287
0
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The interesting thing about this poll - which seems an ongoing trend - is that Justin's Liberals remain in third place. If he can't even be Opposition Leader, the knives will be out for him.

That said, I'm tired of Harper, but I remember the disaster that happened when the NDP ruled BC.
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
547
113
Vernon, B.C.
The interesting thing about this poll - which seems an ongoing trend - is that Justin's Liberals remain in third place. If he can't even be Opposition Leader, the knives will be out for him.

That said, I'm tired of Harper, but I remember the disaster that happened when the NDP ruled BC.

It's silly to even look at polls until the big (and accurate) one on election day! :)