April 22, 2014 – The Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) continues to garner higher levels of backing among likely voters than the federal New Democrats and Liberals, according to the latest monthly poll from Angus Reid Global (ARG) measuring support for Canadian political parties.
A drop in support for the Liberal Party of Canada in vote-rich Ontario also means the CPC is leading among eligible voters this month.
The Conservatives now hold a two-point lead over the Liberals among eligible voters, but their advantage increases to five points when voting turnout factors are applied.
The latest survey in this series went into field as MPs were heading back to their ridings for a two week parliamentary break, following raucous debate over Elections Act changes (external - login to view), headlines concerning candidate selections for the Liberal and Conservative parties, and the sudden death of former finance minister Jim Flaherty.
This ARG poll shows 32 per cent of eligible voters say they would choose a CPC candidate in their riding if an election were held tomorrow, compared to 30 per cent who would chose a Liberal candidate. 26 per cent say they would vote NDP.
However, among those who are likely voters, the Conservatives open a wider lead, with the CPC at 34 per cent, the Liberals at 29 per cent and the NDP at 27 per cent. For more information about the differences between eligible voter and likely voter analysis, see the methodological note at the end of this news release.
Conservatives lead Liberals, NDP among both eligible and likely voters in April | Angus Reid Global (external - login to view)
steve needed less than 40% popular vote for his majority last time. sleep well.