Corporations need to boost dividends to save the Canadian economy

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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Corporations need to boost dividends to save the Canadian economy

It’s no secret that Canadian companies are sitting on record amounts of cash, a byproduct of conservative management practices that emerged following the financial crisis of 2008.

That huge cash pile could also be a savior for the Canadian economy — if only it were put to use.

A new report from David Madani, Canada economist for Capital Economics, says that even if a fraction of Canadian companies used the cash to boost dividends, there would be a significant increase in consumption in Canada.

Mr. Madani said that if 5% of the current assets held by Canada’s non-financial companies were paid out by companies today, personal disposable income in Canada would grow by 2.5%. That would be enough to boost consumption in Canada (provided all of it was spent) by 1%.

Increased dividends make sense given the massive cash pile corporations have at the moment, and their hesitance to use it. Non-financial companies in Canada have seen the total amount of cash they hold grow from $370-billion in mid-2009 to $562-billion at the start of 2012 (financial firms are not included in these figures because they typically sit on large cash piles anyway). Cash holdings have risen to a record 13.2% of total assets, from 10.3% in mid-2009.

Mr. Madani does point out there are plenty of other useful things companies can do with that money. They can fund new investments, mergers and acquisitions or do share repurchases. Unfortunately, they’ve been conservative with these things as well.

So if they’re not going to help boost economic activity by engaging in the above, circulating the cash to consumers is the next logical step, says Mr. Madani.

Corporations need to boost dividends to save the Canadian economy | Trading Desk | Investing | Financial Post
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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They mostly write stuff that is handed to them by various insiders in the financial industry.

I get that, but I also think the content of the article deserves a more thorough analysis than petros' one liners.
 

TenPenny

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 9, 2004
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You mean, the stunning concept that if companies paid out money to their shareholders, the money might be spent on something?

I can see why that needs an indepth discussion.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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You mean, the stunning concept that if companies paid out money to their shareholders, the money might be spent on something?

I can see why that needs an indepth discussion.

Sure, why not?

One would have to look at how that money - in the hands of investors - would affect the economy, vs. it being in the hands of CEOs or their businesses.

Drummond also wrote a similar piece for FP recently which is garnering a lot of positive attention - where he effectively pointed out that businesses are stockpiling money accrued from tax breaks, but they are hoarding it instead of investing it into productive measures that would actually benefit the economy.

Drummond: Business out of excuses in productivity slump | Productive Conversations | Financial Post
 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
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I like seeing the little bump in the cash balance of my stock accounts when the corps pay their dividends. If they can afford to pay more great but they shouldn't pay more just because some fools say they should.
 

L Gilbert

Winterized
Nov 30, 2006
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Companies should pay dividends to keep investors happy. Can't say how many companies we've fired because they've gotten stale or could only manage a percent or two above interest bearing stuff (which is pathetically low to begin with) or whatever.
 

Vancouverite

Electoral Member
Dec 23, 2011
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Companies all over the world are sitting on trillions in cash. In fact, there's so much cash the banks are increasingly reluctant to take deposits. This has been known for quite awhile, but the thing is that the companies don't know where to invest the money. And therein lies both the problem and opportunity.
 

damngrumpy

Executive Branch Member
Mar 16, 2005
9,949
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Why bother saving the Canadian economy? China and India are slowing down,
Europe is further in the financial forest than we know and America is not going to
do much either. Canada will show weak growth or worse in the second half of the
year. We are going to see a recession much worse that 2008 and its coming soon
to a pocket book near you.
 

Kreskin

Doctor of Thinkology
Feb 23, 2006
21,155
149
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If they increase dividends this will happen. People will buy more dumb **** they can't afford. Stock prices will rise and those same people will buy more stock just before the market tumbles. Just back to square one, except now everyone has a for-sale sign on a Boston Whaler or AirStream trailer.
 

Liberalman

Senate Member
Mar 18, 2007
5,623
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Toronto
Corporations need to boost dividends to save the Canadian economy

It’s no secret that Canadian companies are sitting on record amounts of cash, a byproduct of conservative management practices that emerged following the financial crisis of 2008.

That huge cash pile could also be a savior for the Canadian economy — if only it were put to use.

A new report from David Madani, Canada economist for Capital Economics, says that even if a fraction of Canadian companies used the cash to boost dividends, there would be a significant increase in consumption in Canada.

Mr. Madani said that if 5% of the current assets held by Canada’s non-financial companies were paid out by companies today, personal disposable income in Canada would grow by 2.5%. That would be enough to boost consumption in Canada (provided all of it was spent) by 1%.

Increased dividends make sense given the massive cash pile corporations have at the moment, and their hesitance to use it. Non-financial companies in Canada have seen the total amount of cash they hold grow from $370-billion in mid-2009 to $562-billion at the start of 2012 (financial firms are not included in these figures because they typically sit on large cash piles anyway). Cash holdings have risen to a record 13.2% of total assets, from 10.3% in mid-2009.

Mr. Madani does point out there are plenty of other useful things companies can do with that money. They can fund new investments, mergers and acquisitions or do share repurchases. Unfortunately, they’ve been conservative with these things as well.

So if they’re not going to help boost economic activity by engaging in the above, circulating the cash to consumers is the next logical step, says Mr. Madani.

Corporations need to boost dividends to save the Canadian economy | Trading Desk | Investing | Financial Post

One can sell the share as they increase in value besides it's the people that buy stuff that controls the economy it's all about suppy and demand so if you want the company to spend that cash then buy their products and services.
 

TenPenny

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 9, 2004
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What is amusing is that a lot of this stock is held by pension plans, mutual funds, and the (gasp!) 1% ers, so just how much of the dividends do you expect to flow into the hands of people who will actually spend it?